People Are Seriously Talking About Invading Brazil to Save the Planet

With the Amazon burning, some foreign policy experts foresee a new era of global conflict shaped by climate catastrophe

Aaron Gell
GEN

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Amazon forest area burns in rural Novo Progresso, in Para, Brazil. Credit: NurPhoto/Getty Images

ItIt started as a mere thought experiment, a little what-if: As fires raged in the Amazon basin — many of them intentionally set — Stephen Walt, a professor of international relations at Harvard’s Kennedy School of Government, took to the pages of Foreign Policy to do a little thinking out loud in an essay entitled “Who Will Invade Brazil to Save the Amazon?

The piece begins with a stab at speculative fiction, set six years in the future, in which President Gavin Newsom puts the Brazilians on notice: bring a halt to unchecked deforestation, or face a U.S.-led naval blockade and airstrikes against key government infrastructure.

“The above scenario is obviously far-fetched,” Walt quickly assured readers. Which was indeed reassuring, since it seems to presuppose a second term for Donald Trump. Besides which, Brazil is a major U.S. ally and trading partner and is one of the most stable democracies in Latin America.

As the angry tweets rolled in — “Come to Brazil with your idiot ideas to wonder[if] we could defend our land! Shut up your shit mouth and Pencil!”…

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Aaron Gell
GEN
Writer for

Medium editor-at-large, with bylines in the New Yorker, Vanity Fair, the New York Times and numerous other publications. ¶ aarongell.com