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Why We Assume What Went Wrong in the Last Election Will Go Wrong Now

The Democrats’ obsession with the Rust Belt doesn’t make sense in 2020

On December 22, 2001, Richard Reid boarded American Airlines flight 63 from Paris to Miami. During the flight, Reid took a match to his shoes in an unsuccessful attempt to ignite the explosives hidden in them, earning him the…



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Annie Duke

Author of Thinking in Bets and How to Decide. Co-founder of The Alliance for Decision Education